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How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. Voters head to the polls on Nov. 3 in Pennsylvania, a critical battleground state that boasts 20 electoral votes. Likewise, Vermont, New York, Massachusetts, Maryland, and Hawaii all voted for Democrat Kerry by wide margins, but all had Republican governors at the time. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. But registration figures vary greatly by county. To do so, he improved upon Clinton's margins in a range of both. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. Purple states are also often referred to as "battleground" states. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! A large county or state in area may have fewer voters than a small one in area, for example. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. 4, another 2020 red state. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan). Electoral votes invalidated. A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. Thats a point that they made. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. .mw-parser-output .citation{word-wrap:break-word}.mw-parser-output .citation:target{background-color:rgba(0,127,255,0.133)}^1: Split their votes. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. The key swing region is the. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? Vertical lines before 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 show Census-related redistricting breakpoints. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. A 2021 poll found that 52% of Trump voters and 41% of Biden voters support partitioning the United States into multiple countries based on political party lines. If . ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". I think it's the state to watch. Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. Maps of this type are termed choropleth maps, which have several well-known problems that can result in interpretation bias. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. Sorry Marc. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. The state had an additional redistricting before 2018. More than a . Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. On election night that year, there was no coordinated effort to code Democratic states blue and Republican states red; the association gradually emerged. Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. Use arrow keys to move around the map. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Differing shades of red and blue compound this effect.[25]. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). [58], The choice of colors in this divide may appear counter-intuitive to non-American observers, as in most countries, red is associated with socialist, communist, or social democratic parties, while blue is associated with conservative parties. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. What determines a state's "color"? Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Which ones are more politically competitive? [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14].